Markus Rendell's blog ::Calvin Johnson on the Original Meaning of Direct Taxes Michael Ramsey
A so-called "Keeper League" is a specific type of Fantasy Football League. Keeper Leagues offer owners a right to retain a designated number of key players ("Keepers") from previous years-with or sans some penalty, depending on each league's rules. As a result, Keepers are eliminated from the league's draft. Often times, deciding whether a player is a Keeper is uncomplicated-if you have a highly productive player, without injury, at or near the beginning or apex of his career, that player is without question a Keeper. Equally as often, however, an owner is faced with the decision as to whether (s)he should keep a productive player who may be overcoming an injury or reaching the end of his career, or opting for a younger, potential star, such as a top draft choice from the most recent NFL Draft. In a perfect world, a Keeper will be young, highly productive, and consistent. As the 2009 Fantasy Football season approaches, owners in Keeper Leagues are likely to consider the following players as this year's Top 10 Keepers on Offense: 1. Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings: The former University of Oklahoma star and 2-year NFL standout clearly tops the list of this year's Keepers on offense--he's young, highly productive and consistent. Peterson led the NFL in rushing last season with 1,760 yards on 363 carries, for an average of 4.8 yards per rush, while scoring 10 touchdowns. Peterson averaged a stellar 110 yards per game, and his median yards per game was nearly equal at 104-demonstrating that Peterson shows up to play each game day. The Vikings have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL and Peterson, at age 24, is likely to have many seasons of big statistics in his future. 2. Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: For the first time in his 4-year career, Jones-Drew enters the 2009 season as a premier back as a result of the Jaguar's release of Fred Taylor. In 2008, while sharing carries with Taylor (143 rushes), Jones-Drew rushed for 824 yards, on 197 carries, for an average of 4.2 yards per rush, while scoring 12 touchdowns. As a result of Taylor's departure, Jones-Drew's numbers can be extrapolated forward and this demonstrates that he could potentially carry the ball 340 times, for 1,428 yards and 21 touchdowns. Not only is Jones-Drew an effective rusher, but he is also a threat as a receiver out of the backfield. In 2008, he caught 62 passes for 565 yards and 2 touchdowns. Over his three-year career, Jones-Drew has averaged 844 rushing yards per season with a median of 824 yards. This demonstrates that Jones-Drew is a consistent talent. Not unlike Peterson, then, Jones-Drew, at 24, is young, highly productive and consistent. 3. Michael Turner, RB, Atlanta Falcons: In 2008, his 5th year as a pro, Turner had the quintessential breakout season. After spending 4 years riding the pine behind LaDainian Tomlinson in San Diego, he rose to the occasion in Atlanta with 1,699 yards on 376 carries, for an average of 4.5 yards per carry and 17 touchdowns. At 27, Turner is still relatively young and since he only carried the ball 228 times in his 4 years at San Diego, he has not taken nearly as much punishment as many of his position peers. Turner is a consistent performer, averaging 106 yards per game in 2008 with a median per game of 100. With a young star QB like Matt Ryan keeping defensive backs and linebackers preoccupied with the pass, Turner should prove very productive in the coming years. 4. Steven Jackson, RB, St. Louis Rams: Jackson is the personification of a "proven commodity". In his 5 NFL seasons, Jackson has rushed for more than 1,000 yards in all but his rookie campaign, and even then, he managed 673 yards. In 2008, Jackson carried the ball 253 times for 1,042 yards, for an average of 4.1 yards and 7 touchdowns. Additionally, he caught 40 passes for 379 yards, for an average of 9.5 yards per reception, and 1 touchdown. During his career, Jackson has averaged 50 yearly receptions and 444 yards in average receiving. Although he has maintained a heavy workload in his five NFL seasons, Jackson is only 26 years old and, as a result of adding Jason Smith to the offensive line during the 2009 NFL Draft, Jackson should have little trouble continuing to stand out at St. Louis for enough years to qualify as an obvious Keeper. 5. Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: Forte had a memorable rookie campaign in 2008, rushing for 1,238 yards on 316 carries, for an average of 3.9 yards per rush and 8 touchdowns. Not only was he a workhorse running the ball, but Forte caught 63 passes for 477 yards and 4 touchdowns. With the addition of gunslinger, Jay Cutler, at quarterback, opposing defenses will be required to respect the Bears' passing game. As such, Forte should prove to be an even bigger threat in coming years as defenses will no longer have the liberty of keying on him alone. 6. Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee Titans: Not unlike Matt Forte, Johnson had an unforgettable rookie season in 2008 and was instrumental in leading the Titans to the AFC playoffs. Gifted with blazing speed at 4.24 in the 40 yard dash, Johnson rushed for 1,228 yards on just 251 carries for an outstanding 4.9 yards per carry and 9 touchdowns. Likewise, he was a tremendous receiver out of the backfield, catching 43 passes for 260 yards and a touchdown. At 23, his upside potential appears unlimited for many years to come. 7. Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Fitzgerald is the only wide-receiver to be included in this list of Top 10 Keepers and it is not without good reason. Consider this--former San Francisco 49er great, Jerry Rice, is widely considered to be the greatest wide receiver to ever play the game of football and he will no doubt be inducted into the NFL Hall of Fame on his first ballot in 2010. In Rice's first 5 seasons in the NFL he caught 346 passes for 6,364 yards and 66 touchdowns. By comparison, in his first 5 seasons in the pros, Fitzgerald has caught 426 passes for an equally impressive 5,975 yards and 46 touchdowns. Nothing could be more self-evident-Larry Fitzgerald is a certain Keeper. 8. DeAngelo Williams, RB, Carolina Panthers: In just three seasons, Williams has racked up an impressive 2,733 rushing yards on just 538 carries for a sensational 5.1 yards per carry and 23 touchdowns. In 2008, Williams had a breakout season even though he shared carries with Jonathan Stewart who touched the ball 184 times. Williams rushed the ball 273 times for 1,515 yards, an amazing 5.5 yards per carry, and 18 touchdowns. He also contributed to the offense by receiving 22 passes for 121 yards and 2 touchdowns. On one hand, Stewart cuts into Williams' production, but on the other hand, being relieved by Stewart is likely to prolong Williams' career. In any case, Williams' production is outstanding--he is a definite Top 10 Keeper. 9. Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Since coming out of the University of Miami in 2005, 26-year-old Gore has put up some laudable statistics, firmly establishing himself as a premier NFL running back. In just 4 seasons, Gore has amassed 4,441 yards on 939 carries, for a praiseworthy average of 4.7 yards per rush and 22 touchdowns. Last year, Gore carried the ball 240 times for 1,036 yards, a 4.3 yard average per carry and 6 touchdowns. For the last several years, Gore has carried the 49ers on his shoulders causing some Keeper League owners to be disquieted about his long-term durability. This concern was largely addressed by the 49ers in the 2009 NFL Draft when they selected former University of Alabama standout, Glen Coffee, who will spell Gore when necessary. 10. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints: Any Top 10 Keeper List for 2009 cannot be without 2008's most dominant Fantasy Football player. The only quarterback to make this year's list, Brees had a remarkable year in 2008, completing 413 of 635 passes for a staggering 5,069 yards and 34 touchdowns against only 17 interceptions. For those who follow the career of Brees, his 2008 performance was not simply a matter of good fortune-in his 7 years as a starter, Brees has averaged 3,720 passing yards and 24 touchdowns against just 14 interceptions per season. At 30-years-old, Brees remains several years junior to accomplished quarterbacks Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Donovan McNabb, and is likely to have many more productive seasons ahead of him. HONORABLE MENTION: LaDainian Tomlinson, Andre Johnson, Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Calvin Johnson, and Peyton Manning. SOURCES: 2009 Fantasy Rankings, National Football Association #77 Jason Smith, St. Louis Rams Jerry Rice-Career Stats, Yahoo!Sports Chris Johnson, NFL Draft Scout |
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